Compare earthquake activity across Utah with the current monthly forecast map. Click any cell or search your address to see the chance of a magnitude 2.5+ earthquake there this month.
38.34N, 111.20W
Near Torrey
Quick answers about the forecast map and what the data means.
No. This tool estimates the relative likelihood of earthquake activity across Utah areas for a given month. It cannot predict the exact time, location, or size of any specific earthquake.
The percentage shows the estimated chance that at least one earthquake of magnitude 2.5 or greater will occur in that area during the selected month. A higher percentage means more estimated activity compared to other areas.
Utah experiences relatively few earthquakes each month, so even the most active areas have low absolute probabilities. The map is most useful for comparing areas to each other, not for interpreting any single percentage as high or low.
No. This is an informational research tool, not an official emergency alert system. For safety guidance, refer to the Utah Division of Emergency Management and the USGS.
The forecast is updated monthly with the latest earthquake data from the USGS catalog. Each update covers the upcoming month.
The forecast focuses on earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 and above. These are generally the smallest earthquakes that people can feel.
Darker colors indicate areas with higher estimated earthquake activity relative to other Utah areas for that month. The colors compare areas within the same month only.
Not directly. The color scale adjusts each month based on that month's data. To compare months, use the percentage values rather than the colors.
The earthquake data comes from the USGS public earthquake catalog. The forecast model processes this data to estimate monthly activity across Utah.
Utah cell-month activity is sparse. The map ranks cells against one another, so the leading cell can still represent a low absolute monthly probability.